NWSL Women · Group Stage
Portland Thorns W vs North Carolina Courage W
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC · Providence Park
Portland Thorns W host North Carolina Courage W on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Portland Thorns W 42%, draw 24%, North Carolina Courage W 34%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Portland Thorns W 2095 · North Carolina Courage W 2120
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Portland Thorns W · Good+0.07 · Elo 2090
North Carolina Courage W · Good+0.12 · Elo 2295
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Portland Thorns W
- 4 OctLBoston Legacy W NWSL Women–
- 27 SepDHouston Dash W NWSL Women–
- 19 SepWOrlando Pride W NWSL Women–
- 13 SepDChicago Red Stars W NWSL Women–
- 6 SepLWashington Spirit W NWSL Women–
North Carolina Courage W
- 3 OctWSeattle Reign FC W NWSL Women2115
- 27 SepLUtah Royals W NWSL Women2130
- 19 SepLNJ/NY Gotham FC W NWSL Women2133
- 12 SepLSan Diego Wave W NWSL Women2154
- 6 SepWChicago Red Stars W NWSL Women2089
Season outlook
From the NWSL Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Thorns W | 43 /27 | 47.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Courage W | 42 /27 | 46.0 | 0% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
North Carolina Courage W · Elo 1899