NWSL Women

North Carolina Courage W vs Denver Summit W

Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC

North Carolina Courage W host Denver Summit W on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives North Carolina Courage W 41%, draw 24%, Denver Summit W 35%.

  • Home advantage makes North Carolina Courage W the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.

Prediction — from both squads' Elo

From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Team Elo: North Carolina Courage W 2120 · Denver Summit W 2157

Projected line-ups

Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2

Players to watch

Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Sanchez
A. Sanchez

North Carolina Courage W · Good+0.12 · Elo 2295

Y. Ryan
Y. Ryan

Denver Summit W · Good+0.11 · Elo 2521

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

North Carolina Courage W

  • 3 OctWSeattle Reign FC W 2115
  • 27 SepLUtah Royals W 2130
  • 19 SepLNJ/NY Gotham FC W 2133
  • 12 SepLSan Diego Wave W 2154
  • 6 SepWChicago Red Stars W 2089

Denver Summit W

  • 4 OctWChicago Red Stars W 2249
  • 26 SepLKansas City W 2282
  • 20 SepWSeattle Reign FC W 2247
  • 17 SepDBay FC W 2226
  • 12 SepDAngel City W 2300

Season outlook

From the NWSL Women simulation.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitle
North Carolina Courage W42 /2746.00%
Denver Summit W38 /2743.20%

Rest-of-season simulation and title odds: NWSL Women

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

S. Nahas

North Carolina Courage W · Elo 1899