North Carolina Courage W vs Denver Summit W
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC
North Carolina Courage W host Denver Summit W on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives North Carolina Courage W 41%, draw 24%, Denver Summit W 35%.
- Home advantage makes North Carolina Courage W the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: North Carolina Courage W 2120 · Denver Summit W 2157
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

North Carolina Courage W · Good+0.12 · Elo 2295

Denver Summit W · Good+0.11 · Elo 2521
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
North Carolina Courage W
- 3 OctWSeattle Reign FC W NWSL Women2115
- 27 SepLUtah Royals W NWSL Women2130
- 19 SepLNJ/NY Gotham FC W NWSL Women2133
- 12 SepLSan Diego Wave W NWSL Women2154
- 6 SepWChicago Red Stars W NWSL Women2089
Denver Summit W
- 4 OctWChicago Red Stars W NWSL Women2249
- 26 SepLKansas City W NWSL Women2282
- 20 SepWSeattle Reign FC W NWSL Women2247
- 17 SepDBay FC W NWSL Women2226
- 12 SepDAngel City W NWSL Women2300
Season outlook
From the NWSL Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Courage W | 42 /27 | 46.0 | 0% |
| Denver Summit W | 38 /27 | 43.2 | 0% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
North Carolina Courage W · Elo 1899