NWSL Women · Group Stage
Chicago Red Stars W vs Seattle Reign FC W
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · SeatGeek Stadium
Chicago Red Stars W host Seattle Reign FC W on Sun 18 Oct 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Chicago Red Stars W 27%, draw 23%, Seattle Reign FC W 49%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Chicago Red Stars W 1906 · Seattle Reign FC W 2107
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chicago Red Stars W · Average-0.01 · Elo 1987
Seattle Reign FC W · Good+0.08 · Elo 2273
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chicago Red Stars W
- 4 OctLDenver Summit W NWSL Women1849
- 26 SepLNJ/NY Gotham FC W NWSL Women1938
- 20 SepLWashington Spirit W NWSL Women1991
- 13 SepDPortland Thorns W NWSL Women1964
- 6 SepLNorth Carolina Courage W NWSL Women1901
Seattle Reign FC W
- 3 OctLNorth Carolina Courage W NWSL Women2209
- 26 SepWBoston Legacy W NWSL Women2155
- 20 SepLDenver Summit W NWSL Women2234
- 17 SepLAngel City W NWSL Women2207
- 13 SepWBay FC W NWSL Women2061
Season outlook
From the NWSL Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Red Stars W | 17 /27 | 20.1 | 0% |
| Seattle Reign FC W | 40 /27 | 44.6 | 0% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.