NWSL Women · Group Stage
Chicago Red Stars W vs Houston Dash W
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC · SeatGeek Stadium
Chicago Red Stars W host Houston Dash W on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Chicago Red Stars W 40%, draw 24%, Houston Dash W 36%.
- Home advantage makes Chicago Red Stars W the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Chicago Red Stars W 1906 · Houston Dash W 1956
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Chicago Red Stars W · Average-0.01 · Elo 1987
Houston Dash W · Good+0.07 · Elo 2077
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Chicago Red Stars W
- 4 OctLDenver Summit W NWSL Women1849
- 26 SepLNJ/NY Gotham FC W NWSL Women1938
- 20 SepLWashington Spirit W NWSL Women1991
- 13 SepDPortland Thorns W NWSL Women1964
- 6 SepLNorth Carolina Courage W NWSL Women1901
Houston Dash W
- 4 OctLWashington Spirit W NWSL Women1971
- 27 SepDPortland Thorns W NWSL Women1960
- 20 SepWBoston Legacy W NWSL Women1917
- 13 SepLUtah Royals W NWSL Women1968
- 6 SepLOrlando Pride W NWSL Women1909
Season outlook
From the NWSL Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Red Stars W | 17 /27 | 20.1 | 0% |
| Houston Dash W | 30 /27 | 33.7 | 0% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.