Bay FC W vs San Diego Wave W
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Bay FC W host San Diego Wave W on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Bay FC W 23%, draw 23%, San Diego Wave W 54%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Bay FC W 1990 · San Diego Wave W 2244
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Bay FC W · Good+0.09 · Elo 1918
San Diego Wave W · Average+0.02 · Elo 2268
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bay FC W
- 3 OctLKansas City W NWSL Women1976
- 27 SepLOrlando Pride W NWSL Women2011
- 20 SepWRacing Louisville W NWSL Women1991
- 17 SepDDenver Summit W NWSL Women1971
- 13 SepLSeattle Reign FC W NWSL Women1987
San Diego Wave W
- 3 OctWOrlando Pride W NWSL Women2258
- 25 SepWRacing Louisville W NWSL Women2258
- 19 SepWKansas City W NWSL Women2221
- 12 SepWNorth Carolina Courage W NWSL Women2137
- 7 SepLSeattle Reign FC W NWSL Women2274
Season outlook
From the NWSL Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bay FC W | 26 /27 | 29.0 | 0% |
| San Diego Wave W | 51 /27 | 56.5 | 11% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
San Diego Wave W · Elo 2492