NWSL Women · Group Stage

Angel City W vs Bay FC W

Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 00:45 UTC · BMO Stadium

Angel City W host Bay FC W on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Angel City W 58%, draw 22%, Bay FC W 20%.

  • Angel City W are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Prediction — from both squads' Elo

From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Team Elo: Angel City W 2142 · Bay FC W 1990

Projected line-ups

Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2

Players to watch

Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Thompson

Angel City W · Good+0.05 · Elo 2437

H. Bebar
H. Bebar

Bay FC W · Good+0.09 · Elo 1918

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Angel City W

  • 4 OctDNJ/NY Gotham FC W 2272
  • 26 SepWWashington Spirit W 2225
  • 20 SepWUtah Royals W 2151
  • 17 SepWSeattle Reign FC W 2247
  • 12 SepDDenver Summit W 2282

Bay FC W

  • 3 OctLKansas City W 1976
  • 27 SepLOrlando Pride W 2011
  • 20 SepWRacing Louisville W 1991
  • 17 SepDDenver Summit W 1971
  • 13 SepLSeattle Reign FC W 1987

Season outlook

From the NWSL Women simulation.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitle
Angel City W43 /2748.00%
Bay FC W26 /2729.00%

Rest-of-season simulation and title odds: NWSL Women

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gunnar Smerud Leif

Angel City W · Elo 2010