A-League Women · Regular Season - 2
Wellington Phoenix W vs Melbourne Victory W
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 23:15 UTC · Sky Stadium, Wellington
Wellington Phoenix W host Melbourne Victory W on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (A-League Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Wellington Phoenix W 39%, draw 24%, Melbourne Victory W 37%.
- Home advantage makes Wellington Phoenix W the favourite here: it adds 10 points to their win chance.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Wellington Phoenix W 1546 · Melbourne Victory W 1628
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Wellington Phoenix W
- 16 MayLMelbourne City W A-League Women1611
- 3 MayLBrisbane Roar FC W A-League Women1613
- 3 AprWAdelaide United W A-League Women1601
- 29 MarLWestern Sydney Wanderers W A-League Women1640
- 25 MarLCentral Coast Mariners W A-League Women1648
Melbourne Victory W
- 9 MayLMelbourne City W A-League Women1593
- 2 MayLMelbourne City W A-League Women1623
- 25 AprWCanberra United W A-League Women1550
- 3 AprWPerth Glory FC W A-League Women1521
- 28 MarLSydney FC W A-League Women1533
Season outlook
From the A-League Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix W | 0 /0 | 28.6 | 5% |
| Melbourne Victory W | 0 /0 | 33.2 | 17% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Wellington Phoenix W · Elo 1596
Melbourne Victory W · Elo 1653