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A-League Women · Regular Season - 1

Wellington Phoenix W vs Melbourne City W

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:15 UTC · Sky Stadium, Wellington

Wellington Phoenix W host Melbourne City W on Sat 17 Oct 2026 (A-League Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Wellington Phoenix W 31%, draw 24%, Melbourne City W 45%.

Prediction — from both squads' Elo

From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Team Elo: Wellington Phoenix W 1546 · Melbourne City W 1721

Projected line-ups

Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GM. Mieres1817
DD. Turner1995
DR. Stott1933
DT. Otto1932
DK. Roestbakken1805
ML. Hughes1999
ML. Davidson1862
MA. Keane1841
MS. McMahon1784
FM. Speckmaier1789
FH. McNamara1727
CM. Matricciani1897

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Wellington Phoenix W

  • 16 MayLMelbourne City W 1611
  • 3 MayLBrisbane Roar FC W 1613
  • 3 AprWAdelaide United W 1601
  • 29 MarLWestern Sydney Wanderers W 1640
  • 25 MarLCentral Coast Mariners W 1648

Melbourne City W

  • 20 MayLTokyo Verdy Beleza W –
  • 16 MayWWellington Phoenix W 1863
  • 9 MayWMelbourne Victory W 1844
  • 2 MayWMelbourne Victory W 1804
  • 5 AprWNewcastle Jets FC W 1769

Season outlook

From the A-League Women simulation.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitle
Wellington Phoenix W0 /028.65%
Melbourne City W0 /038.252%

Rest-of-season simulation and title odds: A-League Women

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Beverly Priestman

Wellington Phoenix W · Elo 1596

M. Matricciani

Melbourne City W · Elo 1897