NWSL Women · Group Stage
Washington Spirit W vs NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Audi Field
Washington Spirit W host NJ/NY Gotham FC W on Sat 17 Oct 2026 (NWSL Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Washington Spirit W 34%, draw 24%, NJ/NY Gotham FC W 42%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Washington Spirit W 2184 · NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2300
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Washington Spirit W · Good+0.08 · Elo 2486
NJ/NY Gotham FC W · Good+0.13 · Elo 2430
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Washington Spirit W
- 4 OctWHouston Dash W NWSL Women–
- 26 SepLAngel City W NWSL Women2263
- 20 SepWChicago Red Stars W NWSL Women2245
- 13 SepLBoston Legacy W NWSL Women2246
- 6 SepWPortland Thorns W NWSL Women2205
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
- 4 OctDAngel City W NWSL Women2450
- 26 SepWChicago Red Stars W NWSL Women2461
- 19 SepWNorth Carolina Courage W NWSL Women2429
- 11 SepWRacing Louisville W NWSL Women2394
- 6 SepLDenver Summit W NWSL Women2438
Season outlook
From the NWSL Women simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Spirit W | 49 /27 | 53.8 | 2% |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC W | 55 /27 | 60.3 | 87% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Washington Spirit W · Elo 2189
NJ/NY Gotham FC W · Elo 2477