Primera División Femenina · Regular Season - 7
Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Real Madrid W host Espanyol W on Sat 17 Oct 2026 (Primera División Femenina); from both squads' Elo our model gives Real Madrid W 90%, draw 8%, Espanyol W 2%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Real Madrid W 2344 · Espanyol W 1675
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Real Madrid W · Below-0.11 · Elo 2326
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Madrid W
- 4 OctLBarcelona W Primera División Femenina2301
- 1 OctDManchester City W UEFA Champions League Women–
- 26 SepWReal Sociedad W Primera División Femenina2223
- 22 SepDParis Saint Germain W UEFA Champions League Women2256
- 19 SepWValencia W Primera División Femenina2171
Espanyol W
- 3 OctWDeportivo Alavés W Primera División Femenina1632
- 27 SepDDeportivo de La Coruña W Primera División Femenina1649
- 19 SepWMadrid CFF W Primera División Femenina1580
- 12 SepDAthletic Club W Primera División Femenina1575
- 5 SepLFC Levante Badalona W Primera División Femenina1525
Season outlook
From the Primera División Femenina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid W | 13 /6 | 74.5 | 3% |
| Espanyol W | 8 /6 | 31.3 | 0% |
Rest-of-season simulation and title odds: Primera División Femenina
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Real Madrid W · Elo 2249
Espanyol W · Elo 1747