Frauen Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Mainz 05 W vs VfL Wolfsburg W

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Bruchwegstadion, Mainz

Mainz 05 W host VfL Wolfsburg W on Sun 18 Oct 2026 (Frauen Bundesliga); from both squads' Elo our model gives Mainz 05 W 2%, draw 8%, VfL Wolfsburg W 90%.

Prediction — from both squads' Elo

From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Team Elo: Mainz 05 W 1303 · VfL Wolfsburg W 2211

Projected line-ups

Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2

Players to watch

Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Popp
A. Popp

VfL Wolfsburg W · Good+0.06 · Elo 2339

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Mainz 05 W

  • 3 OctLRB Leipzig W 1255
  • 26 SepWIngolstadt W –
  • 18 SepLEintracht Frankfurt W 1284
  • 13 SepLSC Freiburg W 1291
  • 5 SepLFC Koln W –

VfL Wolfsburg W

  • 4 OctWHamburger SV W 2225
  • 30 SepWSturm Graz W –
  • 27 SepWSC Sand W –
  • 23 SepWSturm Graz W –
  • 18 SepL1899 Hoffenheim W 2309

Season outlook

From the Frauen Bundesliga simulation.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitle
Mainz 05 W0 /66.50%
VfL Wolfsburg W15 /659.18%

Rest-of-season simulation and title odds: Frauen Bundesliga

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

S. Lerch

VfL Wolfsburg W · Elo 2331