WSL Cup · Group Stage

Durham W vs Birmingham City W

Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Wolf Competitions Stadium, South Shields

Durham W host Birmingham City W on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (WSL Cup); from both squads' Elo our model gives Durham W 13%, draw 19%, Birmingham City W 68%.

Prediction — from both squads' Elo

From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Team Elo: Durham W 1478 · Birmingham City W 1834

Projected line-ups

Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Durham W

  • 4 OctLNewcastle United W –
  • 30 SepLManchester United W 1298
  • 27 SepLSheffield United W 1362
  • 20 SepLNottingham Forest W 1375
  • 13 SepLLeicester City FC W 1372

Birmingham City W

  • 4 OctLEverton W 1805
  • 30 SepLLiverpool W 1706
  • 27 SepDCrystal Palace W 1864
  • 23 SepLEverton W 1782
  • 19 SepLChelsea W 1911

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Willie Kirk

Durham W · Elo 1348

A. Merricks

Birmingham City W · Elo 1756