WSL Cup · Group Stage
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley W host Aston Villa W on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (WSL Cup); from both squads' Elo our model gives Burnley W 5%, draw 13%, Aston Villa W 83%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Burnley W 1453 · Aston Villa W 2064
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aston Villa W · Average-0.03 · Elo 2115
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Burnley W
- 4 OctLNottingham Forest W Women's Championship–
- 26 SepDBristol City W Women's Championship1455
- 18 SepLWolverhampton W Women's Championship1427
- 13 SepLSunderland W Women's Championship1413
- 4 SepDWatford W Women's Championship1448
Aston Villa W
- 4 OctDCrystal Palace W FA WSL2091
- 30 SepWNewcastle United W WSL Cup1877
- 27 SepLTottenham Hotspur W FA WSL–
- 23 SepWNottingham Forest W WSL Cup1871
- 20 SepDBrighton W FA WSL2058
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Burnley W · Elo 1191
Aston Villa W · Elo 1691