A-League Women · Regular Season - 1

Brisbane Roar FC W vs Central Coast Mariners W

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC · Spencer Park, Brisbane

Brisbane Roar FC W host Central Coast Mariners W on Sat 17 Oct 2026 (A-League Women); from both squads' Elo our model gives Brisbane Roar FC W 40%, draw 24%, Central Coast Mariners W 36%.

  • Home advantage makes Brisbane Roar FC W the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
  • Brisbane Roar FC W have won their last 5 matches.

Prediction — from both squads' Elo

From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Team Elo: Brisbane Roar FC W 1527 · Central Coast Mariners W 1597

Projected line-ups

Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Brisbane Roar FC W

  • 3 MayWWellington Phoenix W 1565
  • 25 AprWAdelaide United W 1512
  • 4 AprWCanberra United W 1499
  • 27 MarWPerth Glory FC W 1448
  • 20 MarWNewcastle Jets FC W 1365

Central Coast Mariners W

  • 4 AprDSydney FC W 1473
  • 29 MarDCanberra United W 1488
  • 25 MarWWellington Phoenix W 1509
  • 21 MarDPerth Glory FC W 1474
  • 20 FebLMelbourne City W 1529

Season outlook

From the A-League Women simulation.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitle
Brisbane Roar FC W0 /027.64%
Central Coast Mariners W0 /031.411%

Rest-of-season simulation and title odds: A-League Women

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

A. Smith

Brisbane Roar FC W · Elo 1640

Kory Babington

Central Coast Mariners W · Elo 1513