FA WSL · Regular Season - 6
Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:45 UTC · Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal W host Birmingham City W on Sat 17 Oct 2026 (FA WSL); from both squads' Elo our model gives Arsenal W 90%, draw 8%, Birmingham City W 2%.
Prediction — from both squads' Elo
From the gap between the two clubs' squad Elo and this competition's home advantage. Women's line-ups are published only after the match, so this is the one prediction; it is frozen at kick-off.
Team Elo: Arsenal W 2482 · Birmingham City W 1834
Projected line-ups
Strongest available side by Elo in a 4-4-2 — not a team sheet, and not what the prediction is computed from.
Players to watch
Highest EAR (form over 180 days, at least five rated matches) in each projected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Arsenal W · Average-0.00 · Elo 2468
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Arsenal W
- 4 OctLManchester City W FA WSL2520
- 30 SepDParis FC W UEFA Champions League Women2530
- 27 SepLChelsea W FA WSL2539
- 22 SepWKøge W UEFA Champions League Women–
- 19 SepDManchester United W FA WSL2552
Birmingham City W
- 4 OctLEverton W FA WSL1805
- 30 SepLLiverpool W WSL Cup1706
- 27 SepDCrystal Palace W FA WSL1864
- 23 SepLEverton W WSL Cup1782
- 19 SepLChelsea W FA WSL1911
Season outlook
From the FA WSL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal W | 5 /5 | 51.9 | 3% |
| Birmingham City W | 2 /5 | 15.2 | 0% |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Arsenal W · Elo 2524
Birmingham City W · Elo 1756